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fraizzze

Canada
58 Posts

Posted - 05/10/2006 :  10:19:41 AM  Show Profile  Visit fraizzze's Homepage
What was the point of today's anti-Saniora manifestation?

I ask you : is it really political, or is it purely socio-economic ? And if so, why does Hezbollah support it so much?

I think such demonstrations are good in the sense that it makes economy move in some way... Even if political reasons lie behind it, it is an economical reform booster. In every countries in the world, such demos have their political sides. So what i would like to say is that : the pro-saniora shoudlnt take it as an insult but more like a pressure to make saniora take the right socio-economic steps to help his country heal his huge debt. And to the anti-saniora : dont worry, he wont resign, but he might recheck his policy twice now.

Thank you all.


Fred

Truth Squad

114 Posts

Posted - 05/11/2006 :  10:52:04 AM  Show Profile
Dear Fred,
Good question and good analysis. to elaborate further, I will say the following:

1) The tripartite movement (Tayyar, Amal, Hezbollah) along with all the political forces alienated by the Hariri (Feb 14 alliance) do have a political interest in bringing down Seniora's government in order to force the Hariri alliance into a more balanced cabinet, one that takes into consideration their points of view vis-a-vis the issues on the table.

2) A concern comes to mind and that is reminiscent of what happened in the 1980s after Amin Gemayyel's visit to Ronald Reagan; before his return to Beirut, the so-called "National Forces" then, coalesced and overthrew Wazzan's cabinet, divided the Army and went to war against Gemayyel. Many argue that their actions were instigated by Syria, but they prefer to say that their actions were out of their convictions. They succeeded, the USA pulled out, and an all-out civil war broke.

3) The Hariri alliance has showed time and again, that they will pursue their interests no matter what (alleging of course it is the best interest of Lebanon). The fact remains that they allied themselves with Amal and Hizbollah in 2005 before the parliementary elections, walked in the shoes of Ghazi Kanaan and passed the 2000 election law and did not give a damn about a main constituency of the Lebanese community: The Christians". On February 5, 2006, they organized an ultra-Islamic rally that had no business whatsoever marching in Lebanon, and sent it into the streets of Ashrafieh to destroy private and public properties and even churches. They have done nothing for the past year except passing decision after decision to ensure the continuation of the investigation in Hariri's assassination. Nothing to find out who killed Samir Kassir, Georges Hawi, Gebran Tueini, etc.

... and they blame it all on Lahoud!
Give us a break, if really they wanted to do something and finish with Lahoud, then take into consideration the balance of powers in Parliament, ally yourself with Aoun (he can't be worse that Hezbollah or Berri) and oust Lahoud.
They don't want that.
They prefer the status-quo, because this status-quo neutralizes the Presidency and leaves all powers in the hands of Saad Hariri. ..some fear it is for sectarian reasons, I think it is for personal ones.
Finally, the tripartite movement may not be all pure and nationalistic, but with the policy and the all-negative rhetoric of the "Future" movement, the tripartite guys are bound to gather momentum.

Take it from the Truth Squad, there is more the Lebanese people need and can do than just the Truth and waiting for Godot.

It should not all be about the Hariris.

quote:
Originally posted by fraizzze
What was the point of today's anti-Saniora manifestation?
I ask you : is it really political, or is it purely socio-economic ? And if so, why does Hezbollah support it so much?
I think such demonstrations are good in the sense that it makes economy move in some way... Even if political reasons lie behind it, it is an economical reform booster. In every countries in the world, such demos have their political sides. So what i would like to say is that : the pro-saniora shoudlnt take it as an insult but more like a pressure to make saniora take the right socio-economic steps to help his country heal his huge debt. And to the anti-saniora : dont worry, he wont resign, but he might recheck his policy twice now.
Thank you all.
Fred
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